1  Cover

      2  Title Page

      3  Copyright Page

      4  Contributors

      5  Preface REFERENCES

      6  Acknowledgments

      7  1 Synthesizing Observed Impacts of Extreme Weather Events Across Systems 1.1. A REASON FOR CONCERN 1.2. OF TRUTHS AND TRIVIALITIES 1.3. SYNTHESIZING ACROSS EVERYTHING 1.4. IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE REFERENCES

      8  2 The Impact of Heat Waves on Agricultural Labor Productivity and Output 2.1. CALIFORNIA AGRICULTURE 2.2. EXTREME EVENTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE: HEAT INDEX 2.3. HEAT WAVES AND AGRICULTURAL LABOR 2.4. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK 2.5. DATA SOURCES AND DESCRIPTION 2.6. EMPIRICAL ESTIMATION AND RESULTS 2.7. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS APPENDIX 2.1 REFERENCES

      9  3 Weather Extremes That Affect Various Agricultural Commodities 3.1. INTRODUCTION 3.2. COMMIDITY GROUPINGS 3.3. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

      10  4 Economics of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture 4.1. INTRODUCTION 4.2. LAND ALLOCATION BEFORE CLIMATE CHANGE 4.3. CROP MIGRATION AFTER CLIMATE CHANGE 4.4. WELFARE IMPLICATIONS 4.5. CONCLUSION APPENDIX A REFERENCES

      11  5 Agricultural Losses in a Telecoupled World 5.1. INTRODUCTION 5.2. BACKGROUND 5.3. MODELING IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURES 5.4. RESULTS: IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURE ON GLOBAL LAND USE 5.5. DISCUSSION 5.6. CONCLUSIONS REFERENCES

      12  6 Perceptions of Extreme Weather Events and Adaptation Decisions 6.1. INTRODUCTION 6.2. METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH 6.3. RESULTS 6.4. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY‐RELATED IMPLICATIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AND DATA REFERENCES APPENDIX

      13  7 Simulation Model Based on Agents for Land Use Change and Cost‐Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies 7.1. INTRODUCTION 7.2. FORMULATION OF SIMBACUS 7.3. DECISIONS OF THE AGENTS (INDIVIDUALS) 7.4. SIMULATION 7.5. RESULTS 7.6. CONCLUSIONS ACKNOWLEDGMENTS REFERENCES

      14  8 Climate Extremes, Political Participation, and Migration Intentions of Farmers 8.1. INTRODUCTION 8.2. LITERATURE REVIEW: EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTION 8.3. METHODOLOGY 8.4. ANALYSIS: A MODELING APPROACH TO ASSESS THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THE EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTIONS 8.5. RESULTS 8.6.