1  Cover

      2  Title Page

      3  Copyright

      4  Dedication

      5  Prologue Note

      6  Acknowledgements

      7  CHAPTER ONE: The Swans Revisited THE NATURE OF RANDOMNESS THE MOVING TAIL THE ROLE OF EXPECTATIONS WHAT MAKES US SUCKERS? THE RELATIVITY OF BLACK SWANS MEET THE PREPPERS NOTES

      8  CHAPTER TWO: Corporate Swans THE BOARD'S PERSPECTIVE SWANS ATTACK STRATEGY SWANS THE SWAN WITHIN THE GROWTH FETISH THE FEAR FACTOR THE CHIEF EXECUTIVE SWAN SWANS ON THE RISE NOTES

      9  CHAPTER THREE: The Black Swan Problem TAIL RISK AND FIRM VALUE UNDERSTANDING WIPEOUTS STRATEGY DISRUPTION ALL YOU ZOMBIES THE AFFORDABILITY ISSUE THE CONUNDRUM NOTES

      10  CHAPTER FOUR: Greeting the Swan RANDOMNESS REDUX THE ROADS NOT TAKEN FUNCTIONAL STUPIDITY THE SWANMAKERS ON TOOLS AND MODELS A SWAN RADAR FOR THE BOARD NOTES

      11  CHAPTER FIVE: Taming the Swan DRAWING THE LINE DISTANCE TO WIPEOUT RISK CAPITAL STRESS TESTING RESILIENCE VS ENDURANCE QUANTITATIVE MODELS LIQUIDITY IS KING NOTES

      12  CHAPTER SIX: Catching the Swan ANTIFRAGILITY RESTORING THE TRUE PATH BUYING ON THE CHEAP OPPORTUNITY CAPITAL FLIGHT TO SAFETY RISK AS STRATEGY NOTES

      13  CHAPTER SEVEN: Riding the Swan RISK SHIFTING A BEAUTIFUL STRATEGY FUEL FOR GROWTH NARCISSISM REDEEMED A TAIL OF TWO COMPANIES END OF THE RIDE SWANS TO THE RESCUE? NOTES

      14  Epilogue Note

      15  Index

      16  End User License Agreement

      1 Chapter 1TABLE 1.1 The prepper's list

      2 Chapter 4TABLE 4.1 Value chain vulnerability

      3 Chapter 7TABLE 7.1 Leverage and growth