Digital Cities Roadmap. Группа авторов

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      Figure 1.10 Estimation of household dislocation.

An illustration of a map depicting an estimation of permanent residence.

      Figure 1.11 Estimation of permanent residence.

      Throughout the 15 years after the seminal efforts of this taskforce, new projects have arisen almost everywhere, under the umbrella of the ‘resilience’ of vital (and uncritical) networks. In 2003, the weekend of resilience in San Francisco celebrated in Tokyo, where a “low carbon and resilient city” initiative was developed, New York was using its logos as “strengthen and resilient New York” initiative, while a “100 towns and cities” initiative was founded by the Rockefeller Foundation. In 2013, the Distinguished Lecturer Award was awarded to Mary Comerio for her lecture on ‘resilience and technological issues’ and inside the qualified earthquake engineers’ group, and the theme for the 16th World Earthquake Technological Conference was ‘resilience, the latest problem of the earthquake engineering’ (which can be translated in more than one way, interestingly).

       1.7.1 Dilation of Resilience Essence

      Throughout the course of 15 years, “resilience” has evolved from an extraordinary term to define the “capability,” including in accident cases, to rebound from damage, pain or deformation, to becoming an increasingly commonly known “buzz word.” Google searches can informally evaluate the emerging popularity of the term (not strictly scientifically, but informatively). In July 2016, 47,000,000 “hits” were checked for “resilience” alone, up from 7,880,000,000 six years before. The most notable aspect, in adding ‘Obama’ and ‘resilience’ almost 3⁄4 million hits, is that six years ago there were only 0.4 million hits, which is no surprise, because President Obama released a presidential order compelling all federal departments to enact resilience-enhancing policies (White House, 2013). 17,300 findings were reported, up from 6,200 six years earlier for the quest for the mixture of “technical resilience.” Just 2,470 times, up from 953 six years ago, was identified for the combination “quantifying resiliency” and only three times was identified for the “quantification of tech resilience” up from just one result six years earlier (a quest for Google that offers one single hit is considered “Google’s wake,” and is a uncommon event). Surprisingly enough, the hits received from such queries indicate that, except for the case of “resilience” alone, such findings have tripled roughly from 2010 to 2016.

      Figure 1.12 Resilience seismic concept [58].

      Either the word “resilience,” though staying important, has grown with an unprecedented elasticity (Figure 1.12), or the above indicate that “resilience” may have been the base of a modern Tower of Babel, in which all inhabitants speak without comprehension. A term of resilience which implies everything and all to everyone is definitely not an especially useful concept since it avoids meaning, consistency and therefore renders it intangible for practical purposes when the aim is to increase group resilience in the way can be calculated. It highlights the importance that such values and the stringent application of ‘resilience’ be re-established in this unique sense. This is discussed below and reflects in a way important to engineers on durability.

       1.7.2 Quality of Life

      The only approach to measure the quality of life as a proportion of the general population (Figure 1.13(a), (b)) is to calculate the quality of life as a feature. Using the whole stable community without an earthquake.

      That figure does not alter at State level, except for such fatalities that happened in seismically deficient hospitals. In the case of hospitals that are seismically remodeled or not. Injuries suffered after the disaster will periodically contribute to a continued decline in the stable community. All these injuries would cure, and deaths would no longer be added to the toll, in the best case, in the absence of hospital loss.

       First Dilemma

      Until a disaster happens, most of the people don’t care about resilience to the designed infrastructure.

      Figure 1.13 (a) Healthy population (b) Patients-days treatment.

      As seen, for instance, in Figure 1.14(a)—and in the hotel rooms, belongings and passports. However, it was as harshly attacked as this tight regulation was. A significant portion of the central business area was already blocked down on the second anniversary of the disaster. Additional forms of destruction were resulting from unfinished repairs/rebuild (Figure 1.14(b)).

      Some rocking frames (note that the standard for Christchurch new buildings before the earthquake is reinforced concrete buildings). Surprisingly enough, there is also a big controversy on the wish of parishioners to construct again the severely destroyed cathedral in the same steel-making framework on which it was originally designed, but probably reinforced to ensure a degree of ‘collapse protection.’

      Figure 1.14 (a) Building after earthquake, (b) Building two years after earthquake.

       Second Dilemma

      How does a structural designer lead to resilience quantification?

      Population and socioeconomic, environment/ecosystem, integrated municipal systems, build-up urban infrastructure, living style and civic competence, economic growth, as well as social and cultural resources define all seven dimensions of group functioning (not generally by any order of importance as expressed in PEOPLES). The suggested PEOPLES Readiness Model offers the foundation for creation of quantitative and consistency temporal–spatial models that continually assess improvements in functionality and group readiness to adverse incidents or hazards across some of all the above dimensions.

       Strategies of Resilience

      “Mitigation,” requiring either the re-building of current structures or the development of modern construction projects, is essential to achive the goal of sustainable cities, but sometimes neglected or dismissed in the assumption that it is “too expensive”. There appears to be very reasonable cost appetite to remove some danger in some other controlled areas, for example by ordering the elimination of traces of asbestos from crews in hazmat suits or by allowing the elimination after several years of baby car seats due to plastic ageing.

      Nation would stay trapped in the constant process of devastation–reconstruction. However, if the nation wants to see vital services and lifelines working following a tragedy, that is not always the case—the majority of the network should not be overlooked (Figure 1.15).


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