Advanced Portfolio Management. Giuseppe A. Paleologo
Читать онлайн книгу.target="_blank" rel="nofollow" href="#ulink_3c8f0f81-2736-50b2-8539-ed74efbc0c62">Table 3.4 Synchrony's risk parameters for the year 2019.
Field | Value (%) |
---|---|
Beta | 1.2 |
Daily Market Vol (%) | 0.8 |
Daily Idio Vol (%) | 1.3 |
Net Market Value | $10M |
We want to compute the volatility of Synchrony's stock return, vol(r). The alpha term is a constant, while the terms
Now, we can apply this formula to Synchrony. The volatility of the market term is
The idiosyncratic volatility is
The dollar variance of Synchrony returns is
I hope I bored you with this calculation, because it is boring. But this is a back-of-the-envelope calculation that helps for many tasks. For example: you can pull SYF and SP500 returns from a website or Bloomberg for the past year, estimate their vols, then perform a quick regression in Excel to estimate the beta of SYF to SP500 and then use the same calculation above to derive the idiosyncratic vol (do it!). Yes, there is a Bloomberg function for that (BETA
Figure 3.3 The variance of the sum of two independent random variables is equal to the sum to the variances of the two random variables. You can interpret the standard deviations as sides of a right triangle.
Now that we have understood the risk decomposition of a single stock into market and idio, let's extend to a whole portfolio. The parameters from the risk model and the portfolio are in Table 3.5.
Table 3.5 Synchrony, Wal-Mart and SP500 risk parameters, together with holdings for each asset.
Field | SYF | WMT | SPY |
---|---|---|---|
Beta | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
Daily Market Vol (%) | 1.4 | ||
Daily Idio Vol (%) | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Net Market Value | $10M | $5M | $10M |
The daily PnL (“Profit and Loss”) of the portfolio is defined as the sum of the holdings times their respective returns:
Now, we can use Equation (3.1) to replace returns with their components, and rearrange the terms:
(3.2)
The performance of the portfolio can be split into the contribution of two terms: a market term and an idiosyncratic one. This is a simple example of performance attribution.
The beta of the portfolio is