Злой рок. Политика катастроф. Ниал (Нил) Фергюсон
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Peter Turchin, «Arise ‘Cliodynamics’» Nature 454 (2008), pp. 34–35.
133
Peter Turchin, Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History (Chaplin, CT: Beresta Books, 2016), p. 11.
134
Peter Turchin et al., «Quantitative Historical Analysis Uncovers a Single Dimension of Complexity That Structures Global Variation in Human Social Organization», PNAS 115, no. 2 (2018), pp. E144 – E151.
135
Jaeweon Shin et al., «Scale and Information-Processing Thresholds in Holocene Social Evolution», Nature Communications 11, no. 2394 (2020), pp. 1–8, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-16035-9.
136
Shin, «Scale and Information-Processing Thresholds», p. 7.
137
Turchin and Nefedov, Secular Cycles.
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Turchin, Ages of Discord, pp. 243f. См. также: Peter Turchin, «Dynamics of Political Instability in the United States, 1780–2010», Journal of Peace Research 49, no. 4 (July 2012), p. 12. См. также: Laura Spinney, «History as Science», Nature, August 2, 2012.
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Turchin, Ages of Discord, pp. 72ff., 86ff., 91, 93, 104ff., 109f., 201–239.
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Turchin, Ages of Discord, fig. 6.1.
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Ray Dalio, «The Changing World Order: Introduction», Principles (blog), https://www.principles.com/the-order/#introduction.
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Dalio, «Changing World Order.»
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Michael Sheetz, «Ray Dalio Says ‘Cash Is Trash’ and Advises Investors Hold a Global, Diversified Portfolio», CNBC, January 21, 2020, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/21/ray-cash-is-trash-as-everybody-market.html.
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Andrea Saltelli et al., «Five Ways to Ensure That Models Serve Society: A Manifesto», Nature, June 24, 2020. См. также: D. Sarewitz, R. A. Pielke, and R. Byerly, Prediction: Science, Decision Making, and the Future of Nature (Washington, DC: Island Press, 2000).
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Джаред Даймонд. Коллапс. Почему одни общества приходят к процветанию, а другие – к гибели / Пер. О. Жаден, А. Михайловой, И. Николаева. М., 2016.
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Jared Diamond, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fall or Survive (London: Penguin, 2011), p. 11.
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Джаред Даймонд. Указ. соч.
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Diamond, Collapse, p. 509.
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Джаред Даймонд. Указ. соч.
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Diamond, Collapse, pp. 118f.
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Benny Peiser, «From Genocide to Ecocide: The Rape of Rapa Nui», Energy and Environment 16, nos. 3–4 (2005); Terry L. Hunt and Carl P. Lipo, «Late Colonization of Easter Island», Science, March 9, 2006; Hunt and Lipo, The Statues That Walked: Unraveling the Mystery of Easter Island (Berkeley, CA: Counterpoint Press, 2012). Ответ Даймонда: Mark Lynas, «The Myths of Easter Island – Jared Diamond Responds», September 22, 2011, Mark Lynas (blog), https://www.marklynas.org/2011/09/the-responds/. См. также: Paul Bahn and John Flenley, «Rats, Men – or Dead Ducks?» Current World Archaeology 49 (2017), pp. 8f.
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Catrine Jarman, «The Truth About Easter Island», The Conversation, October 12, 2017, https://theconversation.com/the-its-85563.
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Джаред Даймонд. Кризис. Каков механизм преодоления кризиса? / Пер. В. Желнинова. М., 2020.
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Jared Diamond, Upheaval: How Nations Cope with Crisis and Change (London: Allen Lane, 2019).
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David Mamet, «The Code and the Key», National Review, May 14, 2020, https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2020/06/01/the-the-key/.
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Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч. Иванова. М., 1989.
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Aeschylus, Agamemnon, in The Oresteia, trans. Ian Johnston (Arlington, VA: Richer Resources, 2007), loc. 599, Kindle. [На русском языке: Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч. Иванова. М., Наука, 1989. С. 105.]
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Aeschylus, Agamemnon, loc. 599, 617. [На русском языке: Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч. Иванова. М., Наука, 1989. С. 106–107.]
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Эсхил. Указ. соч.
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Aeschylus, Agamemnon, loc. 689. [На русском языке: Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч. Иванова. М., Наука, 1989. С. 111.]
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Aeschylus, Agamemnon, loc. 727, 748.
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Там же.
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Aeschylus, The Libation Bearers, in The Oresteia, trans. Ian Johnston (Arlington, VA: Richer Resources, 2007), loc. 1074, Kindle. [На русском языке: Эсхил. Трагедии / Пер. Вяч. Иванова. М., Наука, 1989. С. 133.]
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Эсхил. Указ. соч.
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Aeschylus, The Kindly Ones, in The Oresteia,