Book Wars. John B. Thompson

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Book Wars - John B. Thompson


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earlier with great conviction, turned out to be wide of the mark. Very few people accurately anticipated what actually happened, and, at every stage in this unfolding story, future developments were always unclear. The truth is that no one really knew what would happen, and for years everyone in the publishing industry was living in a state of deep uncertainty, as if they were moving towards a cliff but never knew whether they would ever reach the edge and what would happen if they did. For some within the publishing industry and many on the fringes of it, ebooks were a revolutionary new technology that would finally drag the publishing world, with its arcane practices and inefficient systems, into the twenty-first century. For others, they were the harbinger of doom, the death-knell of an industry that had flourished for half a millennium and contributed more to our culture than any other. In practice, they were neither, and champions and critics alike would be dumbfounded by the curious course of the ebook.

      1  1 The rise of these three sets of players and their impact on the world of Anglo-American trade publishing are analysed in more detail in John B. Thompson, Merchants of Culture: The Publishing Business in the Twenty-First Century, Second Edition (Cambridge: Polity; New York: Penguin, 2012).

      2  2 On the history of how, from the 1960s on, literary writers shifted increasingly to the use of word-processing technologies, see Matthew G. Kirschenbaum, Track Changes: A Literary History of Word Processing (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 2016).

      3  3 See John B. Thompson, Books in the Digital Age: The Transformation of Academic and Higher Education Publishing in Britain and the United States (Cambridge: Polity, 2005), ch. 15.

      4  4 See Chris Anderson, The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business is Selling Less of More (New York: Hyperion, 2006).

      5  5 RIAA, US Sales Database, at www.riaa.com/u-s-sales-database.

      6  6 Ibid.

      7  7 RIAA. There were additional sources of revenue during this period, such as vinyl and music videos and, from 2005 on, ringtones and ringbacks, subscriptions, etc., but they don’t alter materially the overall pattern of revenue decline.

      8  8 David Goldman, ‘Music’s lost decade: Sales cut in half’, CNN Money (3 February 2010), at http://money.cnn.com/2010/02/02/news/companies/napster_music_industry.

Chapter 1
THE FALTERING RISE OF THE EBOOK

      These are all perfectly legitimate questions that have exercised commentators, innovators and scholars since the beginnings of the digital revolution, and we will return to them in a later chapter. But for now, I will take a more pragmatic, historical approach: when did the term ‘ebook’ and its cognates enter our vocabulary, who used these terms, and what did they use them to refer to?


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